Originally Posted by
Saracen
Well, I'd say it's not quite how the jury system works.
This is a serious question, not an attempt to minimise your position (which I understand, by the way) .... have you ever sat on a jury?
I have, and it affected my understanding of the position, when you just describe it in words. I mean, we can all understand the principle of "guilty beyond reasonable doubt". But I found myself sitting there, considering ALL aspects of the evidence, including contradicting presenrations of it. I found myself in a situation where there was no one, single, categoric overwhlemingly absolute proof of guilt. But, when you put all the pieces together, then and only then, like a jigsaw puzzle, does a picture emerge.
And that is when each, individual member of the jury has to determine if they, 8ersonally, are convinced beyond reasonable doubt, which includes deciding where "reasonable" is.
And my only answer to that thorny question is .... beyond balance of probability but short of 100% utter factual certainty.
So, it comes down to whether my conscience will allow me to vote 'guilty' in the sure and certain knowledge that my vote, my actual individual decision, mught be the one that is sufficient to cross the line from "presumed innocent" to guilty, and thus it might be MY vote that sends the accused to prison for a substantial number of years. Whatever the judge will accept, be it unanimous or majority (and I've been in both situations), am I, personally, prepared to face that if enough others have already voted guilty, MY vote might be the one that settles that person's fate, that determines whether they go home to their family, or to prison for years.
And I, and any reasonable person, would find that a very onerous duty. I'm not sure anyone can really understand that, at an emotional level, unless they've been there. It is a substantial weight to carry around.
So, back to your qusstion about certainty in the DP, and Lee Rigby.
Am I satisfied his killers are who they appear to be? Yes. Would I currently, personally, be orepared to either make the decision to execute, or send them to jail? No, because I've seen TV documentaries and news reports, not court-standard evidence, including that from the defence.
However, if I had sat on the jury, I would be prepared to vote guilty, knowing that it might be MY vote, and mine alone, that tipped the balance, even if the result was execution IF, and I heavily stress IF I was satisfied of guilt sufficiently to be prepared to carry that weight.
But as for absolute, beyond any conceivable doubt?
I can't be absolutely certain of anything. I think I'm alive, and I think I'm typing on a tablet, pisting ob HEXUS, but I can't be absolutely certain. Why? Because, given my understanding of what I am, everything is the result of a sort of bio-electrical processing system creating images of what's going on around me, based entirely on a series of sensory inputs and what I believe is the reality I think I live in.
But I am limited by that perception of reality, and by what my brain creates out of the mass of sensory inputs it gets. I might be imagining everything, or am plugged into a Matrix-type VR world, and this opel bloke I'm arguing with might be a figment of my imagination, or the Admin of that Matrix world.
All told, though, I'll proceed on the basis that if it walks like a duck, etc, and I'll assume things are what they seem.
So, given conspiracies, police malfeasance, etc, is it possible to be absolutely, utterly certain of anything? No. So it comes down to whether I'm certain enough to vote guilty, knowing that my vote might be the one that determines life or death, just as in the case I did sit on, it might have determined prison or not.
Of course, there's 11 others, so the safeguard is that they all need to be sufficiently certain, too. One of the aspects of "process", for instance, could and probably should be that a unanimous verdict was required .... though that opens up the possibility that one person could block that, not because of lack of certainty of guilt but because of moral or religious objections.