https://medium.com/@theonlytoby/hist...714#.37b1qd5ag
Summary:
Most people discount the chances of things happening if they haven't happened in their lifetime or the lifetimes of those close to them. Throughout history, whenever experts warn of big scary stuff about to happen, they are 'dismissed as hysterical, mad, or fools, as is always the way, and as people who worry about Putin, Brexit, and Trump are dismissed now.' Thus, those saying 'we haven't had war in europe for 70 years' are being very naive and even arrogant about the chances of it happening.
Eastern Europe is gradually turning to far-right politics, as Turkey and Russia solidify their grips on the regions, and both NATO and the EU are weakened.
We tend to see events in isolation while they're happening around us, but any study of history attempts to link events together, and it is thus clear to us after the facts what contributed to both world wars; Brexit, for example, is either or both a consequence or a potential cause of much unrest.
The rise of Trump is pants-wettingly scary, for his lack of regard of upholding mutual defence treaties and his apparent propensity to go to war or push the big red button.
I need to look into citizenship of a small, neutral island country with good enough healthcare that I can reliably continue to get insulin as nukes are going off around the world.
Wheeewwwwf. Someone rescue me from this paranoia.