I take your point, but no, I didn't miss that. My perspective is that it always was on the taxpayer .... it is the taxpayer's responsibility to be declaring what they should be declaring, to be submitting data and/or sections of forms they should be submitting and if they don't, regardless of whether they knew they should or not, it'll be the taxpayer responsible for the outcome. There's a direct parallel with the old saying about ignorance of the law being no excuse. It's true for tax, too.
The lack of resources I referred to is in relation to actively pursuing tens or hundreds of thousands of people, or even millions, over what often (though, granted, not always) will be trivial sums.
Yes, it's obvious that the way they did things in the past isn't goig to cut it in the modern world and they're going to have to .... 'adapt'. That's what I think is going on here. Many, MANY more people will be indulging in 'side-hustles' than they did a few years ago, simply because the internet gives the infrastructure to do it. HMRC will be aware of that, and this is part of their reaction to doing it. Yes, they'll get much better 'intel', or at least, much more of it, and AI or not, yes it'll spit out more potential 'cases'.
But my point was the tax rules haven't changed (in much of any way significant to this, given that they're pretty much constantly evolving). If you were doing some sort of side hustle before, it either would or wouldn't generate a tax liability and whether it does or not hasn't changed. Within the rules and allowances, if theres tax due now, there was before. But there's a LOT more people in that category, so they've updated the methods for targeting them.
My view is that the vast bulk of those 'targeted' wil get a letter, saying something (in more flowery language) like "we think you might owe more tax, please get in touch or submit the necessary parts of a tax return". If you're in business, even for a side-hustle, I'd suggest not ignoring that. What they don't have the resources for, unless they've silenty recruited and trained whole armies of inspectors, is either "investigating", let alone visiting, everyone making a few quid on the side. Part of that is that not everybody selling stuff on eBay or whatever is actually indulging in a side-hustle, especially those loft-clearing, or whatever.
Yes, they'll get more data, and yes their "AI" (a hugely over-used term) will mine through it looking for people with bigger volumes or value of transactions. Which in turn will generate those letters, in all likelihood. As I said, it's a PR campaign. An analogy might be if you stop paying your TV licence - expect to get pestered by TV licencing because of it, but the vast bulk of their threatening letters are just that - letters. There generally is no 'investigation', even though they say there is.
In quite a lot of cases, I'd expect those HMRC letters to work, and people that genuinely didn't realise that what they're doing might result in tax to react. Some, of course, will have known that and figure they can continue evading tax, and some may be right. Some, whether due to scale or just because they won the investigation 'lottery' actually will get investigated an/or visited, and if found to owe tax, will end up paying it .... and interest and penalties, if due.
Others may indeed just be loft-clearing and have such activities noticed, and get a letter. I'd expect a response to that explaining that you're loft-clearing and not trading, or side-hustling to be sufficient .... provided it's true. They might decide to test that hypothesis, but there's nothing new in that, either.
It has long been the case, and I mean decades, that HMRC have had considerable powers to mess people about, should they choose to. In many ways, more than the police. I had a letter a couple of decades back "estimating" that I owed £x in tax. My choice was to pay it, or fight it and demonstrate why it wasn't the case. i.e., kinda found myself found 'guilty' until/unless I could prove my 'innocence'.
I booked an appoinment at my local tax office, bundled up my paper documentation and laptop with accounting software on it, and went to the appointment and said, paraphrasing :-
- here's what happened,
- here's all my records,
- here's my computerised accounts ...
- what would you like to see?
Half an our later I was on my way home, and a letter withdrawing the "assessment" arrived a couple of weeks later, outstanding tax = £0.00.
I had been (due to illness) a bit, ummm, tardy with some returns. Technically, I was liable for (modest) penalties simply because those returns were late, regardless of why. But, I explained the circumstances, outlined the (utterly genuine) illness and despite technically owing those late payment penalties, regardless of why they were late, had them withdrawn. I still am not quite sure how/why because I thought they were mandatory. There appears to be, or have been, some wiggle-room.
Anyway, my view is STILL that :-
- not much has changed, except a lot more people are side-hustling
- HMRC have a new data source, but they always were inventive
- yes, the "AI" label means it's computer-generated but a true AI should be able to tell loft-clearers from hustles.
- if tax was due before, it still is but HMRC have a new way to chase it,
- if it wasn't before, it still isn't
- tax rules haven't (much) changed
- despite understanding your cyncism, I ssuspect it's misplaced. Time will tell.
- both HMRC have always been eminently fair and reasonable with me, during 30-ish years of income tax
- HMRC have been very reasonable with me, during a similar 30 years of being VAT-registered
- generally, those doing the right thing, or at least genuiney trying to, don't have much to worry about
- those that genuinely do have something to worry about, well, if they paid what's due, they wouldn't have to worry.
What undoubtedly is true, but again it always was the case, is that the hassle, the paperwork, the administration of tax matters can be a collosal time-sink and a mahoooosive PITA. Any small trader (like me) that's VAT-registered is effectively an unpaid tax collector for HMRC. Anyone running a "side hustle" MIGHT have a tax liability but that hasn't changed at all. Yes, HMRC have updated their methodologies a bit but the world has changed so it's unrealistic to expect them not to.
And if those changes result in more people that should be paying tax on side-hustles actually doing so, I'm just fine and dandy with that. I always paid what was due, whether I liked it or not, and see no reason why anybody else shouldn't. If they catch more dodgers this way, great. It's a bit fairer on everybody else, then.