Originally Posted by
Saracen
As always, the immigration issue is complicated, and not amenable to simplistic analysis.
For instance, one argument trotted out (and presented differently, usually depending on the point the presenter is trying to make), is that 'immigrants sponge off the state'. One side of the story is that they pay taxes and are needed, and to some extent, I've no doubt that's true. The other side of the story is that they deny jobs to UK citizens by working cheap, and I've no doubt that to some extent, that's true too.
But look a bit closer and you realise it's a LOT more complicated than that. For instance, to precisely what extent are each of those true? In both cases, is it a minority situation, fairly common or overwhelmingly true? You certainly can't tell from the kind of anecdotal story typical of the Mail which, even if true, may or may not be representative.
Take the "they pay taxes" line, and assume it's absolutely true, and broadly representative of the typical situation. So yes, they represent a source of tax revenue, but they also represent a cost and a drain on resources. They need medical care, so use GPs services and hospital places, their kids are in schools, their cars add to road congestion, and so on.
Does their presence here represent a net benefit or a net cost? Without a very careful analysis of the figures, we just don't know.
Then there's the other common argument - they do jobs Brits don't want to do or won't do. And I've no doubt there's a lot of truth in that. But, in a good few cases, they're living in close to slum conditions and remitting a good part of their earnings back to their home country, such as Poland or wherever, because the buying power there is a lot higher than the same amount of money buys here. People can't support their family on it here, but a year or two of putting up with foul living conditions can set them up for, as an example, starting a business back home.
And it begs the question .... with fairly high (and rising) numbers of people not working (and including those that are, but shouldn't be, on some form of incapacity benefit but not including those that should be on it), it distorts the Labour market here. The reason many Brits won't do these jobs is because many of them, especially in the service sector like hospitality) can be filled by people that will work at pay levels Brits can't afford to work at. So, if cheap immigrant labour wasn't here to do those jobs, employers running hotels, restaurants etc would HAVE to pay a wage that was workable for and attractive to a native Brit worker, because otherwise, they'd go out of business. And, of course, in doing so, their costs would rise so their prices would too. Instead, we have low-cost immigrant workers keeping pay rates artificially low, resulting not just in a much lower going rate in such sectors, but increased unemployment costs on the state.
But the other side of the coin is that there are plenty of immigrant workers here that we actively recruited because we simply didn't have the home grown capacity. It's not about pay levels in those cases, but about successive governments short-sightedness in training, for example, enough nurses.
So in cases, the argument may be largely an economic one, but in by no means all cases is it such. In many cases, it's about social need. We need nurses (or doctors, or dentists, or whatever) so we recruit them away from other countries. Well, we might fill our needs for those vocations, but we can come close to denuding some often less well off countries of skilled staff they really needed at home too. It doesn't just have a social benefit here, but a social cost in other countries too.
One more thing. Our population trends show an ageing population. The pension crisis is deepening in no small part because life expectancies are growing ever longer as medical technology increases. As the aged element of the population increases, we aren't breeding fast enough to provide the future sources of tax revenue (as government seems to see citizens) that are going to pay for that. We have a long-term shortfall looming. And looming soon.
As far as I'm concerned, it's self-evident that this country needs three things :-
- we do need immigrants, now and in the future. The issue is how many, and with what skills.
- we also seriously need a grown-up debate about it, not least with a large does of refreshing candour from our politicians.
- finally, we need to realise that a debate about immigration and a debate about racism aren't the same thing, and that you can be in favour of a controlled immigration policy without either being a racist, or being called one.
But I'm not holding my breath for any of the above.