If only Crysis performance was better on the 48XX cards, whats up with that?! Personally I'd go 4870, I reckon there is more performance to be released using drivers on that card that Nvidias offerings, but we won't know until a few weeks/months from now!
More cards break on release as people getting them are usually enthuiasts oc-ing the tits off them (my opinion) so that may settle down.